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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
allen114Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)71% (293–122, n=415)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)63% (993–576, n=1569)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)
Consensus PnL-$283K$3.6M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #713PM monthly #10PM monthly #97PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)74% (118 of 159 open)69% (52 of 75 open)50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +16 pts n=160, ROI +8%
  • Finance +11 pts n=36, ROI +4%
  • Crypto +8 pts n=52, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won94% of 318 at avg 82¢, ROI +6%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 8)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 83% of 12)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 86% of 51)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 98% of 247)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketallen114Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $269—Ipek Oz $659
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $9—Marcel Zielinski $201
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Sofya Lansere $26—Martyna Kubka $5
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.8K—Janice Tjen $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
—Maria Sakkari $12K—Maria Sakkari $2.6K
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
—Martha MATOULA $934—Martha MATOULA $1.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $457—No $80
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42