PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VigorishVaultRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11876–12684, n=24560)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13374–13523, n=26897)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #712PM monthly #16 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (21 of 27 open)no open consensus position61% (17 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2463)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5333)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8660)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7366)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVigorishVaultRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0K—Yes $119
Games Total: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $396—Over $2
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nemiga
—Nemiga $81—TheMongolz $4
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
same side · consensus Harriet Dart
—Harriet Dart $44K—Harriet Dart $307
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.0K—Over $2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus Astralis
—magic $1.1K—magic $5.8K
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Pohang Steelers
—FC Pohang Steelers $225—FC Pohang Steelers $5.6K
Will Buriram United win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $72