PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SteveTheFishRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12114–12946, n=25060)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13625–13756, n=27381)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #973PM monthly #17 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #20
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)65% (24 of 37 open)no open consensus position51% (18 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)42% (won 96% of 47)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSteveTheFishRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Berrettini
opposite sides · consensus Flavio Cobolli
—Matteo Berrettini $11K—Flavio Cobolli $21K
Guayaquil: Tomas Barrios vs Joaquin Aguilar
opposite sides · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
—Joaquin Aguilar $3.5K—Tomas Barrios $54
Ribadesella CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $176—Over $250
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $340—Under $77
W35 Norman, OK: Jenna DeFalco vs Ashley Lahey
opposite sides · consensus Jenna DeFalco
—Jenna DeFalco $229—Ashley Lahey $109
M25 Norman, OK: Asahi Harazaki vs Bor Artnak
opposite sides · consensus Bor Artnak
—Bor Artnak $202—Asahi Harazaki $20
Curitiba: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher
opposite sides · consensus Maria Lourdes Carle
—Julia Grabher $6—Maria Lourdes Carle $103
Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan Kozlov
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $23—Stefan Kozlov $7
M25 Las Vegas, NV: Andrew Johnson vs William Jansen
opposite sides · consensus Andrew Johnson
—William Jansen $9—Andrew Johnson $18
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $105—Over $253
M25 Las Vegas, NV: Andres Santamarta Roig vs Noah Johnston
same side · consensus Andres Santamarta Roig
—Andres Santamarta Roig $7—Andres Santamarta Roig $107