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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
RN1TheWindKnowsmyNameUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)69% (182–83, n=265)50% (20930–20602, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$14.8M-$102K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #953PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus58% (18 of 31 open)50% (96 of 193 open)70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2538)12% (won 33% of 21)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5565)14% (won 84% of 25)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9017)12% (won 90% of 21)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8250)62% (won 99% of 110)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1TheWindKnowsmyNameUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $360—Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.3K—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $36—Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $758—Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $176—No $270
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $345
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $61—No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $28—Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Under $945
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $44—Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Under $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $42—Under $791