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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | tian888 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (305–265, n=570) | 45% (317–381, n=698) | 40% (4–6, n=10) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $312K | $248K | $365K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #807 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (105 of 148 open) | 52% (15 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% | 80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 49) | 39% (won 100% of 88) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 47% (won 100% of 108) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 7% (won 100% of 17) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | tian888 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Wizards $1.5K | Pistons $19K | — | — |
| Spread: Memphis (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Memphis | Memphis $52 | South Florida $12K | — | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.7K | Over $882 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.1K | Under $283 | — | — |
| Spread: Western Michigan Broncos (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos | Western Michigan Broncos $460 | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons $339 | — | — |
| Morgan State Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers opposite sides · consensus UMBC Retrievers | UMBC Retrievers $391 | Morgan State Bears $29 | — | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $25K | Over $25K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Mavericks $471 | Mavericks $15K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.7K | Over $4.6K | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Islanders $48 | Islanders $8.3K | — | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.9K | Under $5.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Mavericks $3 | Mavericks $5.0K | — | — |
| Blues vs. Utah same side · consensus Utah | Blues $910 | Blues $3.7K | — | — |