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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorprobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18shineforeverrZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)71% (2090–853, n=2943)60% (48–32, n=80)75% (6–2, n=8)67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$388K$500K$318$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #251was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensus51% (113 of 220 open)40% (4 of 10 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +46 pts n=40, ROI +43%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40%25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)4% (won 100% of 2)25% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)34% (won 100% of 17)50% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)44% (won 100% of 22)0%37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)18% (won 100% of 9)25% (won 100% of 1)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorprobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18shineforeverrZzzz87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $21Team Falcons $197K——
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $714——Over $15K
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K——Yes $417
China PR vs. Malaysia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $806——Over $1.0K
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $54——Yes $189
Will Malaysia win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
Yes $274——Yes $19
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
1win $4——1win $162