Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1Rene22RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)63% (990–573, n=1563)56% (5–4, n=9)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.2M$7.0K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #102was PM monthly #672PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (192 of 270 open)72% (95 of 132 open)17% (1 of 6 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1Rene22RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Philip Henning
Carlo Alberto Caniato $339——Philip Henning $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Pia Lovric $21——Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $28K——Sorana Cirstea $21K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $23K——Anastasia Zakharova $17K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K——Yes $5.5K
Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K——No $768
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Over $1.9K
Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $517
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $261——Over $664
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $127——Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $42