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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | Pexter54321 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6492–5997, n=12489) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $3.2M | $21K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #102 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (158 of 216 open) | 75% (100 of 134 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (14 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 50% of 2 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | Pexter54321 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | — | — | Over $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $754 | — | — | Yes $375 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $831 | — | — | Yes $61 |
| Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck | Carl Overbeck $308 | — | — | Kasidit Samrej $35 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $14 | — | — | Under $181 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $28 |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li same side · consensus Anna Blinkova | Anna Blinkova $5.9K | — | — | Anna Blinkova $40K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva same side · consensus Mai Hontama | Mai Hontama $1.1K | — | — | Mai Hontama $11K |
| Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva | Ksenia Zaytseva $2.8K | — | — | Ksenia Zaytseva $5.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $102 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $116 | — | — | Yes $161 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $174 | — | — | Under $42 |