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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (490–167, n=657)42% (124–173, n=297)no settled market68% (330–158, n=488)
Consensus PnL$54K$124K—-$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #39PM monthly #734PM monthly #38 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (84 of 129 open)74% (31 of 42 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Magic $47Kings $5.4K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Cameron Norrie $227Taylor Fritz $4.8K——
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $871Celtics $3.3K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Alexander Shevchenko $365Casper Ruud $3.0K——
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-25.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
Utah Tech Trailblazers $99Utah State Aggies $2.5K——
Lima: Alessandro Rubini vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
Franco Roncadelli $2.4KAlessandro Rubini $21——
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Kings $2Magic $451——
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida State Seminoles
Florida Gators $208Florida State Seminoles $211——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $21KCoco Gauff $3.9K——
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $198Jazz $17K——
Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov
same side · consensus Alexis Galarneau
Alexis Galarneau $197——Alexis Galarneau $2.1K
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $220Under $217——
Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Washington State Cougars
Washington State Cougars $178Washington State Cougars $160——
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5)
same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys
Wyoming Cowboys $8Wyoming Cowboys $295——