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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1twe2nty
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)75% (129–42, n=171)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$14.8M-$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #1PM monthly #26 + pinnedwas PM monthly #956
Sides with the consensus65% (265 of 408 open)no open consensus position61% (173 of 285 open)80% (8 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)21% (won 4% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)5% (won 8% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)4% (won 60% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)70% (won 96% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

92 on the same side, 54 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1twe2nty
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $22K—Under $423—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—No $13K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3K—No $8.8K—
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $8.6K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $291—No $8.8K—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2K—No $66—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.5K—Tomas Machac $2.3K—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $60—No $7.7K—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.1K—Over $3.1K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $596—No $5.3K—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.9K—Over $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.1K—Over $439—
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Under $1.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.5K—Under $22—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3K—Yes $35—
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K—No $734—
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $638—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K—Under $29—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17—No $1.7K—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7K—Under $6—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36—No $1.5K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $39—No $1.5K—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $19—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713—Over $268—
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $896—Under $52—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213—No $677—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $263—Under $470—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $607—Yes $106—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220—Hawks $426—
PSV leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $554—Yes $88—
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $329—No $273—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273—
Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $499—No $41—
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $412—Under $22—
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $371—No $25—
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios $127—Lautaro Midon $260—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118—
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $105—Under $169—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114—Yes $143—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123—Over $86—
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $140—No $3—