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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1UnreasonableAwareness
Record (consensus markets)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$14.8M-$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensus74% (174 of 235 open)no open consensus position53% (16 of 30 open)11% (1 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1UnreasonableAwareness
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572—Over $3.3K—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $3.7K—Tiphanie Lemaitre $143—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $1.3K—Mary Stoiana $611—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $372—Tom Gentzsch $29—
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
Robert Guna $83—Robin Bertrand $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $181—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $193—Sumit Nagal $2.3K—
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $8—Otto Virtanen $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $127—Yes $176—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42—