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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)69% (243–108, n=351)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$14.8M$70K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #195
Sides with the consensus72% (191 of 265 open)no open consensus position58% (18 of 31 open)80% (32 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)68% (won 91% of 228)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $181—
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Pia Lovric $162—Oriana Gniewkowska $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $23K—Anastasia Zakharova $17K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $21K—Sorana Cirstea $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Over $2.5K—
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Toby Samuel $74—Toby Samuel $2.6K—
Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8K—No $533—
Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $517—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $261—Over $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $127—Yes $176—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42—