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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serfndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (311–350, n=661)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M-$833K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #120PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus70% (252 of 361 open)no open consensus position74% (29 of 39 open)71% (58 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 258 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)1% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)48% (won 100% of 123)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)46% (won 100% of 119)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 14)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serfndb1
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $21K—No $72K—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $33K—
Watford FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $546—Under $12K—
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $11K—
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
same side · consensus US Sassuolo Calcio
US Sassuolo Calcio $1.0K—US Sassuolo Calcio $8.1K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $595——Under $6.6K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $3.9K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
Hull City AFC $2.5K——Hull City AFC $2.9K