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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpheyjasonndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)86% (6–1, n=7)63% (988–572, n=1560)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$33K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #726PM monthly #104PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (189 of 263 open)no open consensus position76% (100 of 132 open)57% (20 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 5 at avg 79¢, ROI +19%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0%20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)20% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)80% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpheyjasonndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754——Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831——Yes $61
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $273——Mary Stoiana $561
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $261——Kilian Feldbausch $382
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
Robert Guna $83——Robin Bertrand $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $8——Tom Gentzsch $52
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $12K——Alexandra Eala $40K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $4.7K——Coleman Wong $10K
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
Matteo Martineau $1.0K——Matteo Martineau $2.4K
W75 Petange: Lisa Zaar vs Lea Nilsson
same side · consensus Lisa Zaar
Lisa Zaar $30——Lisa Zaar $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
same side · consensus Veronika Podrez
Veronika Podrez $39——Veronika Podrez $263
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116——Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $42