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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpLFOA95RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)100% (1–0, n=1)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$15K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21was PM monthly #979PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (238 of 321 open)no open consensus position57% (89 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)100% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)0%35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

63 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpLFOA95RN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $28K—No $11K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $173—Max Hans Rehberg $6.6K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille $6.7K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.6K—Under $549
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7K—Under $18
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.4K—Under $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0K—No $454
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0K—No $353
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.5K—No $803
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $520
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9K—Yes $12
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $746—Yes $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $44
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K—Yes $120
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $853—Yes $677
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $6
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $10
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FC Lugano $1.5K—FK Kauno Žalgiris $2
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $645—Over $675
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $673—Yes $174
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $600—No $27
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551—Jesse Flores $16
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $81—Yes $377
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $358—Over $67
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $387—Joao Lucas Da Silva $25
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $60—Ivan Gakhov $238
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $189—Over $25
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova
Maria Sholokhova $5—Victoria Rodriguez $173
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
Anna Siskova $60—Isis Louise Van den Broek $72
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $31—Under $33
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $42
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $29
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49K—No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $47K—No $20K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $41K—Yes $18K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $21K—No $10K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud $25K—Casper Ruud $6.6K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $18K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.5K—Over $12K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $13K—No $2.3K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.0K—Under $6.4K