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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 40% (3385–5153, n=8538) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | -$465K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (263 of 380 open) | 70% (373 of 534 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 59% (65 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
64 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $361 | No $335K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.3K | — | — | Yes $22 |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.2K | — | — | Yes $604 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.3K | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.1K | — | — | Over $8 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | — | Over $2 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K | — | — | Lavinia Tanasie $5 |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | Julia Riera $1.5K | — | — | Renata Zarazua $482 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $656 | Yes $448 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | Greet Minnen $686 | — | — | Lisa Pigato $48 |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $412 | — | — | Yes $125 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $239 | — | — | Under $42 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | — | — | Ivan Gakhov $225 |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $19 | — | — | Sofia Johnson $213 |
| Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $84 | No $45 | — |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $121 | Yes $1 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | Cadence Brace $60 | — | — | Jo-Yee Chan $36 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $43 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $26 | — | — | Over $13 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13 | — | — | Yes $4 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | No $81K | — |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.0K | No $53K | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $28K | — | — | Under $2.0K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | — | No $667 | No $24K | — |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $20K | — | — | No $1.5K |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $16K | — | — | Under $4.2K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.5K | — | — | Under $8.9K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | — | — | Yes $10K |
| Spread: NEC (-1.5) same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías | AS Omónoia Leukosías $10K | — | — | AS Omónoia Leukosías $3 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9.5K | — | — | Under $128 |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.4K | — | — | Over $180 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.0K | — | — | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC | Ferencvárosi TC $5.8K | — | — | Ferencvárosi TC $1.6K |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $6.7K | — | — | Under $24 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.6K | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $6.1K | — | — | Under $15 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $5.6K | — | — | No $239 |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.9K |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $552 | — | — | Under $2.4K |
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | No $1.2K |