← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6582–6102, n=12684) | 39% (3362–5151, n=8513) | 63% (991–574, n=1565) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | -$465K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #249 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (78 of 104 open) | 68% (459 of 676 open) | 70% (52 of 74 open) | 43% (9 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.