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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (240–149, n=389) | 36% (3741–6739, n=10480) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) |
| Consensus PnL | $199K | $3.2M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #202 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #93 | PM monthly #63 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (11 of 14 open) | 75% (47 of 63 open) | 72% (67 of 93 open) | 76% (16 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 281 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | — | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 48% of 27) | — | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 65% of 37) | — | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 89% of 63) | — | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 98% of 154) | — | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State vs. Baylor opposite sides · consensus Baylor | — | Baylor $21K | — | Iowa State $16K |
| Texas A&M vs. South Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $5.4K | — | Texas A&M $23K |
| Georgia vs. Ole Miss opposite sides · consensus Georgia | — | Ole Miss $23 | — | Georgia $14K |
| Colorado vs. Arizona State: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $11K | — | Over $98 |
| Arkansas vs. Auburn opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | Auburn $5.9K | — | Arkansas $3.5K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | Miami (FL) $4.2K | — | Notre Dame $55 |
| Spread: Iowa (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | Northwestern $181 | — | Iowa $381 |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $73K | — | Notre Dame $175K |
| Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.9K | — | Under $2.4K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $463 | — | Notre Dame $230 |