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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DonghuiFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2047–832, n=2879)54% (446–384, n=830)48% (500–536, n=1036)
Consensus PnL—$386K$332K$464K
Tracked asPM monthly #444PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)58% (80 of 138 open)72% (80 of 111 open)58% (7 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDonghuiFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $11KSpirit $5—MOUZ $1.1K
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
——Kraken $43Hurricanes $34K
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3K—Under $14K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $3.4K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.0K—Denmark $3.5K
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $946—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $366Miami (FL) $48—
Victoria Women T20I: Namibia Women vs USA Women
opposite sides · consensus Namibia Women
—Namibia Women $3—USA Women $10
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—