PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DokklRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11876–12684, n=24560)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13380–13528, n=26908)
Consensus PnL$3.3K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #998PM monthly #17 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)73% (16 of 22 open)no open consensus position46% (11 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2463)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5333)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8660)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7366)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDokklRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $24K—Daniel Merida Aguilar $893
AS Néstos Chrysoúpolis vs. PS Kalamáta: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.8K—Under $4.4K
Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov
opposite sides · consensus Denis Shapovalov
—Denis Shapovalov $4.5K—Remy Bertola $6.0K
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $6.4K—Liquid $2.6K
GS Markó vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7.1K—Under $432
AS Néstos Chrysoúpolis vs. PS Kalamáta: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $113—Over $344
Courmayeur: Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska
opposite sides · consensus Katarina Zavatska
—Katarina Zavatska $21—Laura Mair $42
Spread: PS Kalamáta (-1.5)
same side · consensus PS Kalamáta
—PS Kalamáta $753—PS Kalamáta $1.2K
PS Kalamáta leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $238—Yes $670