Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ChonkVisionferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (247–182, n=429)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)
Consensus PnL$645K-$9.4M$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #87was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)64% (7 of 11 open)69% (95 of 138 open)55% (16 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +7 pts n=231, ROI +9%
  • NBA +20 pts n=11, ROI +20%
  • NFL +13 pts n=16, ROI +13%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=115—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won59% of 411 at avg 55¢, ROI +10%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 3)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 51% of 117)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 60% of 265)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 88% of 26)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketChonkVisionferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13KOver $1.7K
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $12KAdrian Andreev $5.0KAdrian Andreev $2.1K
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
—Alexandre Reco $108Alexandre Reco $75Alexandre Reco $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
——Alex Michelsen $134Yannick Hanfmann $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $181
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $51Over $29
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $21