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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankgoogleplayhansama231keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)57% (28–21, n=49)50% (6–6, n=12)no settled market46% (323–386, n=709)
Consensus PnL$758K$423K$0$250K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #833PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus50% (12 of 24 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position62% (68 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=22, ROI +45%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%0%—7% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 100% of 15)17% (won 100% of 1)—39% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 14)83% (won 100% of 5)—47% (won 100% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 2)0%—7% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankgoogleplayhansama231keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $380K——Commanders $79K
Raptors vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $126K——76ers $182K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $144K——Commanders $40K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $110K——76ers $38K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $134K——76ers $2.4K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Giants $46K——Commanders $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $31K——76ers $1.9K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $230——76ers $27K
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.5K——Under $7.3K
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $146——Under $565
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $30K——Raptors $4.1K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $111——Raptors $5.6K