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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) | 93% (107–8, n=115) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $14.8M | $117K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #565 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 66% (33 of 50 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 112 at avg 94¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 99% (won 98% of 111) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | — | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | — | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | — | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $74 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $192 | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $61 | — | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | — | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $960 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | — | Under $801 |