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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Kch-Temp | nigiri99 | visselkobe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (73–54, n=127) | 70% (16–7, n=23) | 53% (578–504, n=1082) | 57% (4–3, n=7) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.5M | $592K | $634K | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #256 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #895 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (9 of 18 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 58% (46 of 80 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 60% (won 100% of 6) | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 0% | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Kch-Temp | nigiri99 | visselkobe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.2M | Cowboys $15K | 49ers $109K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $1.1M | Raiders $68K | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $43K | — | 49ers $1.1K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $19K | Under $22K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $35K | — | 49ers $254 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $21K | — | Hornets $638 | — |
| Steelers vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | — | Bengals $16K | Steelers $317 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $3.6K | — | 49ers $3.5K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $389 | — | Lakers $646 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $133K | — | Cowboys $59K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Clippers $608 | — | Clippers $2.8K | — |