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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankJ-E-RRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)44% (164–208, n=372)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)50% (20607–20392, n=40999)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$42K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #418PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)89% (65 of 73 open)63% (113 of 178 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +4 pts n=53, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Elections −1 pts, n=78——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)70% (won 4% of 263)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)4% (won 53% of 15)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)6% (won 70% of 23)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)20% (won 92% of 76)33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankJ-E-RRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $21K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Grizzlies $14K—Thunder $958—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $750Yes $72
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $450—Bucks $107—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $50—Thunder $492—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $77KYes $2.3K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $3.1K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $22——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $960
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Raptors $122—Raptors $149—