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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | tian888 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 54% (305–265, n=570) | 45% (317–381, n=698) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $758K | $312K | $248K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #807 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 72% (106 of 148 open) | 50% (14 of 28 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 15) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 100% of 15) | 30% (won 100% of 49) | 39% (won 100% of 88) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 14) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 47% (won 100% of 108) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 7% (won 100% of 17) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | tian888 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $101K | — | 76ers $29K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Wizards $1.5K | Pistons $19K | — |
| Spread: Memphis (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Memphis | — | Memphis $52 | South Florida $12K | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.7K | Over $882 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.1K | Under $283 | — |
| Spread: Western Michigan Broncos (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos | — | Western Michigan Broncos $460 | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons $339 | — |
| Morgan State Bears vs. UMBC Retrievers opposite sides · consensus UMBC Retrievers | — | UMBC Retrievers $391 | Morgan State Bears $29 | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $25K | Over $25K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $26K | — | Raptors $4.8K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Mavericks $471 | Mavericks $15K | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.7K | Over $4.6K | — |
| Islanders vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | — | Islanders $48 | Islanders $8.3K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Mavericks $3 | Mavericks $5.0K | — |
| Blues vs. Utah same side · consensus Utah | — | Blues $910 | Blues $3.7K | — |