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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGC-PprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)46% (1169–1346, n=2515)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M-$4.9K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #664PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)68% (55 of 81 open)71% (5 of 7 open)60% (109 of 181 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGC-PprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Tomas Machac $127—Arthur Fils $11K
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $264—Yes $5.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $690—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $8—Thunder $273
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $180—Over $90
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $217Pelicans $10——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765KNo $22——
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $6.1K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $333Eastern Michigan $6.2K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $2.2K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $172Over $3.0K—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $156Under $3.0K—
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $268—No $2.6K
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $765
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $218Eastern Michigan $2.0K—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $263—Hawks $678
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $170—76ers $240
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Timberwolves $253—Timberwolves $126
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $223—Hawks $128
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $149—Bucks $147