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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpfrenchlaundryRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)57% (43–33, n=76)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$311K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #293PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)66% (281 of 426 open)100% (1 of 1 open)63% (180 of 287 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −1 pts, n=23—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 63 at avg 58¢, ROI +6%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)24% (won 7% of 15)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)16% (won 40% of 10)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)16% (won 80% of 10)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)44% (won 96% of 28)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

89 on the same side, 64 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpfrenchlaundryRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64KYes $117K—Yes $31K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651KNo $40K—No $6.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $43K—No $6.4K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K——No $148
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $13K
Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7.4K—No $6.0K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10K—Over $12
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2K—No $9.0K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.3K—No $8.8K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—No $8.8K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.6K—Under $12
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.2K—No $66
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $380—No $7.7K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1K—Over $3.1K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.5K—Under $1.9K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $83—No $4.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $45—No $4.5K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $1.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $628—No $3.9K
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
—Tomas Barrios $134—Lautaro Midon $4.0K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.0K—Over $61
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6K—Yes $9
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.3K—Yes $35
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $734
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Under $29
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.7K—Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.0K—Over $638
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $36—No $1.5K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $189—No $1.4K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $220—No $1.3K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $18—No $1.5K
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4K—Yes $63
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $238
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $918—No $273
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Exact Score: Bristol City FC 1 - 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $717—Yes $7
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $607—Yes $106
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Hawks $426
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553—No $91