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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)47% (1130–1278, n=2408)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M-$27K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10was PM monthly #953PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)79% (100 of 127 open)59% (10 of 17 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)19% (won 100% of 94)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimeprimm
Will FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $339Yes $10—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $81Justina Mikulskyte $26—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $1.5KColeman Wong $688—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $345—
Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $51Under $255—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $271Over $19—
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $239Yes $4—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $199Over $8—
Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $102Under $10—