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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6543–6108, n=12651) | 39% (3348–5215, n=8563) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | -$473K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #252 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (181 of 259 open) | 73% (554 of 754 open) | 74% (60 of 81 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=584 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 33% of 170) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 4% (won 48% of 166) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.