Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aurelius7joseph00677RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)56% (236–186, n=422)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)50% (19555–19619, n=39174)
Consensus PnL$3.2K$5.6M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #1PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position60% (28 of 47 open)65% (33 of 51 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicCulture −2 pts, n=23———
Settled positions, side won67% of 386 at avg 49¢, ROI +10%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 64)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 41% of 61)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢61% (won 84% of 236)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 25)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAurelius7joseph00677RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $943Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $36
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $162No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.3KNo $3.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $931
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $44