PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsernamebeachboy4RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (579–720, n=1299)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12314–13195, n=25509)50% (13798–13934, n=27732)
Consensus PnL-$15K$5.8M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #24PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #23
Sides with the consensus79% (85 of 108 open)100% (2 of 2 open)74% (25 of 34 open)42% (11 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2507)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5408)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8790)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7551)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsernamebeachboy4RN1omnibus-076daa
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
opposite sides · consensus Lilli Tagger
——Lilli Tagger $29KHan Shi $33K
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
——Vitality $12KNemiga $4.5K
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune
Valentin Vacherot $442——Holger Rune $15K
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
——Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.4KEmilio Camacho $1.7K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $591——No $9.9K
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $4.4KAdrian Mannarino $2.6K
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $142——Yes $17
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
same side · consensus Nemiga
——Nemiga $4.6KNemiga $804
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $738Yes $3.7K——
Brest: Federico Cina vs Dino Prizmic
same side · consensus Dino Prizmic
——Dino Prizmic $3.5KDino Prizmic $99
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5KYes $72——
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus Eternal Fire
——Eternal Fire $1.2KEternal Fire $88
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $951Under $36
Courmayeur: Ayla Aksu vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Ayla Aksu $20Ayla Aksu $35