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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (434–419, n=853) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $93K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #611 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 84% (26 of 31 open) | 71% (99 of 140 open) | 60% (44 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 838 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 141) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 38% of 338) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 202) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 157) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.4K | No $68K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $5.0K | Magic $644 |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $3.7K | Magic $376 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $601 | — | Jaguars $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $1.7K | Suns $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Magic $1.2K | Suns $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.3K | — | Jaguars $174 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | — | Diletta Cherubini $281 | Ipek Oz $698 |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Magic $18 | Suns $236 |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro | — | — | Mio Mushika $2 | Kanon Sawashiro $48 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $157 | Florida Atlantic $20K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $7.8K | Suns $1.1K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $510 |
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao same side · consensus Katie Swan | — | — | Katie Swan $825 | Katie Swan $1.1K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $1.1K | Suns $258 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $502 | Under $338 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Magic $104 | Magic $180 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | — | Southern Miss $16 | Southern Miss $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Warriors $135 | Warriors $87 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |
| W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz same side · consensus Han Shi | — | — | Han Shi $11 | Han Shi $156 |