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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlmostNoAwareness | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (116–72, n=188) | 44% (11392–14477, n=25869) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | -$8.8M | $4.1M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #111 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 73% (29 of 40 open) | 70% (85 of 121 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=27 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 159 at avg 65¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 29) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 26% of 19) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 75% of 16) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 87% of 95) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlmostNoAwareness | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $32K | Lakers $873 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $28K | Over $390 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $20K | Clippers $7 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $9.8K | 76ers $1.1K | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $10K | Under $209 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $5.2K | Heat $298 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | Over $107 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $113 | Under $297 | — |