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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 319113331313111 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (82–35, n=117) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $7.7M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #965 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 83% (44 of 53 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 55% (53 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 64 at avg 70¢, ROI −7% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 67% of 3) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 100% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 100% of 26) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 100% of 31) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 319113331313111 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $294K | — | Texans $5.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $179K | — | Cowboys $1.5K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $142K | — | 76ers $848 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $101K | — | Cowboys $1.7K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $91K | — | Texans $1.5K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $16K | — | No $17K |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $400 | — | 76ers $155 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $421K | No $346K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $24K | — | Colts $8.6K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls same side · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $14K | — | Bulls $62 |
| Spread: Saints (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $6.3K | — | Browns $311 |