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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 1nvoker1 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (334–212, n=546) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $3.5M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #929 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (26 of 43 open) | 79% (226 of 286 open) | 72% (69 of 96 open) | 65% (100 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −9 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 555 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 5% of 238) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 37% of 54) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 75% of 67) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 94% of 196) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
70 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 1nvoker1 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $28K | — | No $4.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $9.7K | — | Yes $5 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $4.6K | — | No $5.0K |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | Olympique de Marseille $9.1K | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $352 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.6K | — | Over $4 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4.5K | — | Over $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $4.5K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $6.0K | — | Under $11 |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $5.5K | — | Yes $248 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | — | Yes $6 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.1K | — | Under $81 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | — | Yes $740 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $491 | — | Over $2.9K |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | — | Under $414 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Under $57 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | — | SC União Torreense $231 | — | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | Yes $460 |
| Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Michael Antonius opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski | — | Maks Kasnikowski $962 | — | Michael Antonius $948 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $32 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $848 | — | Over $185 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $588 | — | Over $336 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $600 | — | No $300 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $118 | — | Yes $594 |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $258 | — | No $374 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $440 | — | Warriors $143 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $432 | — | Over $12 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $432 | — | Over $10 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato opposite sides · consensus Thiago Monteiro | — | Thiago Monteiro $334 | — | Marco Cecchinato $77 |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus AZ | — | Juventus FC $49 | — | AZ $89 |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $75 | — | No $46 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $47 | — | Yes $27 |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $25 | — | Under $3 |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | — | No $8 |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $58K | — | Yes $41K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $55K | — | No $28K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $62K | — | No $20K |
| Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $36K | — | Yes $28K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $43K | — | No $19K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $32K | — | Yes $13K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.9K | — | Under $16K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |