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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026RN1UpTheBlueszwaaan
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)50% (20405–20288, n=40693)52% (119–109, n=228)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$14.8M$3.1M$474
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7was PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)62% (37 of 60 open)67% (30 of 45 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%53% of 135 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)21% (won 3% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)19% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)28% (won 76% of 38)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)31% (won 88% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026RN1UpTheBlueszwaaan
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KOver $1.4KUnder $23K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2KOver $360Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.7K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $1.5K—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235Clippers $965——
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758Yes $130—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $161No $289—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61No $172—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $3.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22—Yes $3.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $64—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963Clippers $240——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42Under $791—