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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankrayvanmechelenUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (2965–2631, n=5596)51% (28265–27298, n=55563)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$8.4M$2.9K$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #1was PM monthly #981PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)88% (29 of 33 open)56% (15 of 27 open)64% (47 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=1035, ROI +44%
  • Tennis +49 pts n=27, ROI +46%
  • NBA +50 pts n=23, ROI +50%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%98% of 1147 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 82% of 60)3% (won 97% of 29)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)36% (won 98% of 212)31% (won 98% of 361)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 100% of 205)52% (won 98% of 594)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)20% (won 100% of 116)14% (won 98% of 163)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankrayvanmechelenUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $148—No $296No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $7.6K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $12Yes $752
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Polissia
——FK Kolos Kovalivka $15FK Polissia $270
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
——SD Eibar $5CD Pamplona $6
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $7Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22——Yes $3.9K
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $21No $929
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $6
Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
——No $20No $46
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2Over $54
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
same side · consensus CDA Navalcarnero
——CDA Navalcarnero $5CDA Navalcarnero $45
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $21Over $15
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2Under $4