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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026739633786beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)44% (421–537, n=958)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M-$152K—$7.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #932—PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus65% (32 of 49 open)20% (1 of 5 open)no open consensus position88% (35 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=352, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +50 pts n=43, ROI +50%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%98% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +47%—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)0% (won 100% of 2)—10% (won 82% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)53% (won 97% of 215)—36% (won 98% of 212)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)46% (won 98% of 187)—35% (won 100% of 205)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)0%—20% (won 100% of 116)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026739633786beachboy4BreakTheBank
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $73K——Chargers $294K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Patriots $10K——Packers $143K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Texans $41K——Chargers $100K
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Patriots $13K——Packers $104K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.9K——Over $14K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $395——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $81K——Seahawks $124K
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $11KTimberwolves $1.3K——
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $31——Chargers $3.9K