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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfd0b70Ec885499eb7e1Bee28f51A112c46675dF6-1730171730527BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)69% (48–22, n=70)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$87K$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #322PM monthly #3PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)78% (25 of 32 open)75% (120 of 161 open)56% (31 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won91% of 44 at avg 81¢, ROI +12%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 4)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 83% of 6)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up75% (won 94% of 33)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfd0b70Ec885499eb7e1Bee28f51A112c46675dF6-1730171730527BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
——Thiago Monteiro $3.6KMarco Cecchinato $32K
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $28KYes $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.3KNo $9
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.1KNo $104
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Will Rubio Nu win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $885Yes $99
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $886Under $81
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $789Yes $16
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $208Ipek Oz $494
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $318No $359
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $79Warriors $505
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $440Warriors $109
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $40No $182
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $141Over $69
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $104Over $18
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $25Yes $2
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
——SE Palmeiras $29KSE Palmeiras $14K
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
——Alice Tubello $4.6KAlice Tubello $17K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.7KNo $145
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KOver $411
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
——SE Palmeiras $2.9KSE Palmeiras $665
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.3KOver $751
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.8KOver $198
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KOver $826
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $613No $353
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $538Under $35
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
——James Kent Trotter $300James Kent Trotter $112
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $128Under $271
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8Under $323
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $138Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $174Warriors $97
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $34Under $225
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $150Under $28
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $4Under $156
SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $120No $12