Consensus PnL $86K · win rate 90% (47–5, n=52) · PM monthly #310 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$86.1K
Record
47W / 5L
Win Rate
90.0%
of 52 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#190
Source
PM monthly #310
Record (90 d)
24/24 · 100%
Trades
126
Markets
58
Volume
$654.0K
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 3 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $354 · now 7¢ · in at 6¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $74 · now 14¢ · in at 10¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes $6 · now 1¢ · in at 0¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
44 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 81¢- Elections
+7 pts
side won 100% of 18 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 83% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 75%(won 94% of 33)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.