Consensus PnL $43K · win rate 90% (44–5, n=49) · PM monthly #302 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$43.5K
Record
44W / 5L
Win Rate
90.0%
of 49 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#199
Source
PM monthly #302
Record (90 d)
6/6 · 100%
Trades
126
Markets
56
Volume
$323.3K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 3 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $354 · now 7¢ · in at 6¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $74 · now 14¢ · in at 10¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes $6 · now 1¢ · in at 0¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
26 settled consensus markets · held side won 85% at an average entry of 73¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0xfd0b70Ec885499eb7e1Bee28f51A112c46675dF6-1730171730527's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 83% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 87% of 15)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.