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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)48% (20–22, n=42)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$565K$4.6M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #256PM monthly #108PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (76 of 102 open)83% (10 of 12 open)66% (39 of 59 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicTennis −5 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won49% of 41 at avg 56¢, ROI −14%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 33% of 6)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 45% of 11)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 42% of 12)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 67% of 12)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkdvlklkvlsklkfsndb1primmRN1
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $4.7KBears $12K
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $2.7KBears $5.3K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $28KBuccaneers $17K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.2K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6.8KOver $652
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $2.4KBuccaneers $3.9K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $93Buccaneers $4.8K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $3.5KBears $362
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $723Buccaneers $821