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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)48% (12–13, n=25)59% (16–11, n=27)71% (2093–854, n=2947)54% (448–384, n=832)
Consensus PnL$31K$670K$387K$332K
Tracked asPM monthly #836PM monthly #35PM monthly #13PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (150 of 288 open)67% (91 of 136 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=381—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13Under $946
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Duke $356Miami (FL) $49
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Nets $58Grizzlies $27
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $79Over $3
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $8.1K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $399Heat $1.1K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
——Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
——Northwestern $30Northwestern $911