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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (732–246, n=978)55% (201–167, n=368)66% (479–242, n=721)
Consensus PnL—$69K$227K-$146K
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (54 of 84 open)60% (26 of 43 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $10Bucks $2.9K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65Under $1.0K—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $125Rockets $81—
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $1.1K—Sumit Nagal $3.0K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.4KRockets $791—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Mak Mikovic
same side · consensus Tommaso Compagnucci
—Tommaso Compagnucci $212—Tommaso Compagnucci $892
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $430—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $55—