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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5916–5289, n=11205)53% (10–9, n=19)87% (2303–332, n=2635)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.6M$30K
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #1was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (175 of 238 open)no open consensus position56% (20 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=901, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)32% (won 98% of 318)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)51% (won 98% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 98% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelen
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $96
FC Pohang Steelers vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Over $745
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
opposite sides · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $184—Vitaliy Sachko $8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $369
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $1
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.9K—No $1
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $1
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—No $2
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $865—No $10
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren
same side · consensus August Holmgren
—August Holmgren $717—August Holmgren $9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $561—No $10
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
—Joaquin Aguilar $488—Joaquin Aguilar $6
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $468—No $10
FC Seoul vs. The Cong - Viettel FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $207—Under $9
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $70—Over $112
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
—Laura Samson $113—Laura Samson $9
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $101—Over $13
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $4—Tom Gentzsch $7