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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)85% (5219–893, n=6112)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M$25K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #710
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)67% (309 of 464 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64KYes $115K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.7KYes $33
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $420Under $13
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $40K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $23K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $833
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $6.2KCeltics $215—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KUnder $86
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.0KNo $378
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KOver $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $47
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $990No $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $720Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $486Yes $18
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $317Yes $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $5
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $10Yes $7
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $2Yes $1