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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | visselkobe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (13–11, n=24) | 57% (73–54, n=127) | 53% (578–504, n=1082) | 57% (4–3, n=7) |
| Consensus PnL | $841K | $2.5M | $634K | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #895 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 44% (8 of 18 open) | 59% (47 of 80 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 100% of 6) | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | visselkobe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $1.2M | 49ers $109K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $43K | 49ers $1.1K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $35K | 49ers $254 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Clippers $21K | Hornets $638 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $9.7K | — | Jazz $923 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $3.6K | 49ers $3.5K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Suns $389 | Lakers $644 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $133K | Cowboys $59K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $79K | — | Raptors $14K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors same side · consensus Knicks | Raptors $49K | — | Raptors $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Clippers $608 | Clippers $2.8K | — |