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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (41–44, n=85) | no settled market | 52% (28–26, n=54) | 67% (334–163, n=497) |
| Consensus PnL | -$367K | — | -$1.4K | -$108K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #150 | PM monthly #504 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (22 of 34 open) | 54% (25 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 409 at avg 52¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 9% (won 100% of 38) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 39% (won 100% of 161) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 36% (won 100% of 149) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 15% (won 100% of 61) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | — | Heat $706 | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $9.4K | — | Knicks $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | Magic $154 | — |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | — | — | Western Michigan $545 | Akron $733 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Kent State | Kent State $207 | — | Bowling Green $319 | — |
| Western Michigan vs. Akron: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $326 | Over $23 |
| Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios same side · consensus Tomas Barrios | Tomas Barrios $27K | — | — | Tomas Barrios $29K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5) same side · consensus Bowling Green | — | — | Bowling Green $166 | Bowling Green $433 |