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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (37–39, n=76)no settled market51% (129–124, n=253)68% (310–145, n=455)
Consensus PnL-$387K—-$31K-$57K
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #7PM monthly #223PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)no open consensus position59% (54 of 91 open)64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +57 pts n=44, ROI +56%
  • Soccer +37 pts n=23, ROI +29%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI +46%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 5)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)8% (won 0% of 1)65% (won 100% of 57)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)69% (won 67% of 9)8% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)15% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 100% of 19)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $4.3K—Elmer Moeller $11Elmer Moeller $7.1K
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $18K—Under $1.3K—
Will CF Trival Valderas win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5.1KYes $32
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $1.5KToby Samuel $400
CP Mijas-Las Lagunas vs. Real Jaén CF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2Under $414
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Grenier
——Kyrian Jacquet $49Hugo Grenier $361
CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.8K—Over $2—
Knoxville: Petr Nesterov vs Timo Legout
same side · consensus Timo Legout
——Petr Nesterov $5.3KPetr Nesterov $149
Will CP Mijas-Las Lagunas win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $148No $149
CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5Under $220
CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $18Under $42