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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | pelik | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 100% (129–0, n=129) | 67% (383–189, n=572) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $320K | $410 | -$126K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #434 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (74 of 115 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 417 at avg 99¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 100% (won 100% of 415) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | pelik | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $169K | Kings $47K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $111K | — | Over $354 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $10K | — | — | Heat $752 |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.4K | — | — | Trail Blazers $236 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15 | — | — | Heat $710 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | — | Heat $527 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $55K | — | — | Heat $18K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $52K | — | Trail Blazers $4.1K |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | — | — | Kings $839 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $332 | — | — | Trail Blazers $208 |