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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 74% (427–151, n=578) | 65% (35–19, n=54) |
| Consensus PnL | -$381K | $245K | $57K | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #614 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (87 of 125 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 34% (won 83% of 30) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $835 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu opposite sides · consensus Cezar Cretu | Pavlos Tsitsipas $1 | — | — | Cezar Cretu $1.3K |
| Knoxville: Orel Kimhi vs Filip Jeff Planinsek opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $178 | Orel Kimhi $447 |
| Lima: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryo Tabata opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | — | Ryo Tabata $1 | Juan Carlos Prado $37 |
| Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | — | Adrian Andreev $16K | Adrian Andreev $4.2K |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | — | Over $285 | — |
| Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier same side · consensus Daniel Altmaier | — | — | Daniel Altmaier $2.1K | Daniel Altmaier $3.8K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic same side · consensus Miomir Kecmanovic | Arthur Rinderknech $238 | — | — | Arthur Rinderknech $4.2K |
| Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton same side · consensus Hynek Barton | — | — | Lui Maxted $341 | Lui Maxted $785 |